Key Points:
- Devyani International shares rose 8% after the share-swap merger announcement with Sapphire Foods, while Sapphire fell 6%.
- The merger aims to create one of India’s largest quick-service restaurant chains, enabling cost savings, faster decision-making, and broader geographic reach.
- Analysts see up to 45% valuation upside, with full merger completion and synergies expected within 15–18 months.
Devyani International shares jumped nearly eight percent and Sapphire Foods fell six percent in Mumbai trading on Friday after the companies announced a share-swap merger aimed at scale, cost savings and stronger competition in India’s fast-food market.
Stocks React Sharply to Share-Swap Terms
Devyani International shares climbed to a near two-month high, while Sapphire Foods extended losses after investors digested the merger terms announced Jan. 1. The deal combines two major franchise operators of Yum! Brands in India, including KFC and Pizza Hut.
Under the proposed structure, Sapphire Foods will merge into Devyani International through a share swap. A Sapphire shareholder holding one hundred shares on the record date will receive one hundred seventy-seven shares of Devyani after the merger is completed.
At Thursday’s closing prices, the implied value of the swap was broadly neutral, reflecting where both stocks ended Jan. 1. Analysts said that limited arbitrage explained the divergent moves, with Devyani International shares gaining on expected benefits and Sapphire adjusting to the exchange ratio.
“The merger ratio is very close to the previous closing prices, so there is no major price adjustment arising from the deal,” Jefferies analysts said in a note.
Analysts See Cost Savings and Faster Decisions
Brokerages broadly welcomed the transaction, citing a simpler corporate structure and operating leverage. The merged company would create one of India’s largest quick-service restaurant platforms, with a wider geographic footprint and shared procurement.
JP Morgan called the deal a “welcome strategic move,” saying it could enable meaningful cost savings and quicker decision-making. That, the bank said, should help Devyani compete more effectively with peers and food delivery platforms.
Emkay Global said the combined business could deliver revenue and operating profit fifty to sixty percent above current levels over time, approaching the scale of larger rivals. Margins, however, may remain weaker in the near term as integration costs persist.
The companies said the full merger and realization of identified synergies are expected within fifteen to eighteen months from the effective date. Devyani will pay a one-time charge to Yum! India for merger approval and license fees related to additional territory.
JM Financial Flags Up to 45% Valuation Upside
JM Financial said the merger is structured to unlock scale benefits, improve unit economics through operating leverage and strengthen execution across brands and regions. Its analysts estimated a combined equity value of about 38,700 crore rupees.
That implies nearly forty-five percent upside from the current combined market capitalization of roughly 26,600 crore rupees, the brokerage said, based on back-of-the-envelope calculations.
Ahead of the merger, Arctic International, a group company, will acquire about 18.5 percent of Sapphire Foods’ paid-up equity from existing promoters. The stake may later be assigned to a mutually agreed financial investor, the companies said.
Market participants said the next catalysts include regulatory approvals, Yum! India’s consent and clarity on integration milestones. Until then, trading is likely to track execution signals and broader market conditions, with Devyani International shares closely watched by investors.
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